Our Chelsea vs Ajax Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Ajax in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday October 22, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Liverpool
Chelsea will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 England Premier League victory over Liverpool, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Chelsea recorded 53% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 53% | 9 (6) | 0.88 | 57 |
 Liverpool | 47% | 7 (2) | 1.73 | 48 |
Ajax's Last Match – Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax
Ajax must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 3-3 Netherlands Eredivisie draw against Sparta Rotterdam on October 4. In that match, Ajax controlled 67% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sparta Rotterdam | 33% | 10 (5) | 1.88 | 51 |
 Ajax | 67% | 11 (5) | 1.66 | 62 |
Chelsea vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Attacking Strength | 1.47 |
| 0.51 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Ajax average 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.