Our Chelsea vs Ajax Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Ajax in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday October 22, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Nottm Forest vs Chelsea
Chelsea will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 England Premier League victory over Nottm Forest, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Chelsea recorded 51% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nottm Forest | 49% | 8 (2) | 2.12 | 55 |
 Chelsea | 51% | 12 (6) | 1.65 | 40 |
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs AZ
Ajax must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 Netherlands Eredivisie defeat against AZ on October 18. In that match, Ajax controlled 61% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 61% | 12 (2) | 1.47 | 0 |
 AZ | 39% | 7 (2) | 2.17 | 0 |
Chelsea vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Attacking Strength | 1.47 |
| 0.51 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Ajax average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.