Our Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction: 2-1
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ajax's Last Match – AZ vs Ajax
Ajax will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Netherlands Eredivisie draw against AZ on February 8. In that match, Ajax recorded 62% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AZ | 38% | 9 (6) | 1.68 | 30 |
 Ajax | 62% | 10 (3) | 0.96 | 71 |
Fortuna Sittard's Last Match – Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Netherlands Eredivisie share of the spoils with Sparta Rotterdam on February 7. In that match, Fortuna Sittard recorded 35% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fortuna Sittard | 35% | 4 (3) | 0.98 | 32 |
 Sparta Rotterdam | 65% | 11 (6) | 1.3 | 89 |
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Stats
Key Stats
| Ajax | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.64 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ajax are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Fortuna Sittard average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Ajax 22-20
Fortuna Sittard 16-20
What are the odds for this match?
Ajax to win: @1.363
Draw: @5
Fortuna Sittard to win: @8
Lineups
Ajax (4-3-3) : Vitezslav Jaros, Lucas Rosa, Josip Sutalo, Youri Baas, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Davy Klaassen, Jorthy Mokio, Sean Steur, Rayane Bounida, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts
Fortuna Sittard (4-2-3-1) : Luuk Koopmans, Ivo Pinto, Ivan Marquez, Neraysho Kasanwirjo, Justin Hubner, Philip Brittijn, Edouard Michut, Mohammed Ihattaren, Lance Duijvestijn, Dimitris Limnios, Kaj Sierhuis