Our Al Gharafa vs Al-Ahli Doha Prediction: 2-1
Al Gharafa vs Al-Ahli Doha in the Qatar Stars League is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 18, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Al Gharafa vs Al-Ahli Doha stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Al Gharafa's Last Match – Qatar SC Doha vs Al Gharafa
Al Gharafa will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Qatar Stars League defeat against Qatar SC Doha on March 12. In that match, Al Gharafa had 48% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Qatar SC Doha | 52% | 0 (2) | 1.3 | 0 |
 Al Gharafa | 48% | 0 (1) | 0.45 | 0 |
Al-Ahli Doha's Last Match – Al-Ahli Doha vs Al-Arabi Doha
Al-Ahli Doha will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Qatar Stars League draw against Al-Arabi Doha on March 13. In that match, Al-Ahli Doha recorded 44% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Al-Ahli Doha | 44% | 0 (5) | 1.36 | 40 |
 Al-Arabi Doha | 56% | 0 (6) | 0.76 | 56 |
Al Gharafa vs Al-Ahli Doha Stats
Key Stats
| Al Gharafa | Al-Ahli Doha | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Attacking Strength | 0.59 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Al Gharafa are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, while Al-Ahli Doha average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Al Gharafa 9-22
Al-Ahli Doha 13-20
What are the odds for this match?
Al Gharafa to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.5
Al-Ahli Doha to win: @3.3
Al Sadd 
Al-Shamal SC 
Al-Rayyan SC 
Al Gharafa 
Qatar SC Doha 
Al-Arabi Doha 
Al Duhail 
Al-Wakrah SC 
Al-Ahli Doha 
Umm Salal 
Al-Shahaniya SC 
Al Sailiya SC