Our Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa Prediction: 5-1
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa in the AFC Champions League Elite is scheduled for an 18:15 GMT kick-off on Monday October 20, 2025. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 5-1 for the match between Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Gharafa.
Our prediction is supported by key Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Al Ahli Jeddah's Last Match – Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
Determined to get back to winning ways, Al Ahli Jeddah must win after their 1-1 Saudi Arabia Pro League draw against Al Shabab Riyadh on October 17. In that match, Al Ahli Jeddah recorded 68% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Al Ahli Jeddah | 68% | 8 (5) | 2.05 | 46 |
 Al Shabab Riyadh | 32% | 5 (3) | 1.04 | 28 |
Al Gharafa's Last Match – Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya SC
Al Gharafa will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 Qatar Stars Cup defeat at the hands of Al Sailiya SC on October 17. In that match, Al Gharafa recorded 27% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Al Gharafa | 27% | 0 (3) | - | 30 |
 Al Sailiya SC | 73% | 0 (17) | - | 70 |
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Gharafa Stats
Key Stats
| Al Ahli Jeddah | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 1.63 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.5 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Al Ahli Jeddah are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Al Gharafa average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Al Hilal Riyadh 
Al Ahli Jeddah 
Tractor Sazi 
Al Ittihad Jeddah 
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 
Al Duhail 
Al Sadd 
Sharjah SCC 
Al Gharafa 
Al Shorta SC 
Nasaf Qarshi