Our Al Gharafa vs Lusail Prediction: 3-2
Al Gharafa vs Lusail in the Qatar Stars Cup is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Friday November 28, 2025. We’re backing a 3-2 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key Al Gharafa vs Lusail stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Al Gharafa's Last Match – Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Gharafa
Al Gharafa will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 AFC Champions League Elite defeat against Shabab Al Ahli Dubai on November 24. In that match, Al Gharafa recorded 37% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 63% | 13 (5) | 0.99 | 29 |
 Al Gharafa | 37% | 7 (2) | 0.89 | 48 |
Lusail's Last Match – Lusail vs Al Markhiya
Lusail must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Qatar Stars Cup defeat against Al Markhiya on November 15 and regain momentum. In that match, Lusail had 59% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lusail | 59% | 0 (1) | - | 18 |
 Al Markhiya | 41% | 0 (4) | - | 10 |
Al Gharafa vs Lusail Stats
Key Stats
| Al Gharafa | Lusail | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 2.33 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Al Gharafa are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Lusail average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded per game.