Our Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Prediction: 3-1
Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 23:20 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Nacional Medellin's Last Match – Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
After suffering a 0-1 Colombia Primera A loss to Deportivo Cali, Atletico Nacional Medellin must win to get back on track. In that match, Atletico Nacional Medellin recorded 57% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportivo Cali | 43% | 10 (7) | 0.6 | 40 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 57% | 9 (7) | 1.05 | 31 |
Alianza's Last Match – Alianza vs Cucuta Deportivo
Alianza will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Colombia Primera A draw with Cucuta Deportivo on February 17. In that match, Alianza recorded 54% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alianza | 54% | 11 (5) | 1.53 | 61 |
 Cucuta Deportivo | 46% | 8 (5) | 1.07 | 19 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 1.29 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Nacional Medellin are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Alianza average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Atletico Nacional Medellin 17-11
Alianza 8-12
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Nacional Medellin to win: @1.363
Draw: @4.5
Alianza to win: @9
Lineups
Atletico Nacional Medellin: David Ospina, Felipe Roman, Andres Sarmiento, Cesar Haydar, Alfredo Morelos, Samuel Velasquez Uribe, Cristian Arango, Mateus Uribe, Simon Garcia, Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque, Jorman Campuzano
Alianza: Juan Camilo Chaverra, Jhildrey Alejandro Lasso, Pedro Franco, Felipe Pardo, Jesus Munoz, Jesus Antonio Figueroa Olaya, Carlos Esparragoza, Wiston Fernandez, Yilson Rosales, Fabian Cantillo, Carlos Lucumi
Atletico Nacional Medellin 
Deportivo Pasto 
America de Cali 
Once Caldas 
Deportes Tolima 
Junior 
Atletico Bucaramanga 
Deportivo Cali 
Aguilas Doradas 
Llaneros 
Independiente Santa Fe 
Fortaleza CEIF 
Jaguares de Cordoba 
Millonarios 
Independiente Medellin 
Cucuta Deportivo 
Deportivo Pereira 
Boyaca Chico