Our Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Prediction: 2-1
Deportes Tolima vs Alianza in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Deportes Tolima vs Alianza prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Deportes Tolima's Last Match – Deportes Tolima vs Junior
Deportes Tolima will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Colombia Primera A loss to Junior on December 17. In that match, Deportes Tolima recorded 78% possession, firing 21 shots at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportes Tolima | 78% | 21 (0) | 1.86 | 0 |
 Junior | 22% | 2 (1) | 0.26 | 0 |
Alianza's Last Match – Fortaleza CEIF vs Alianza
Alianza must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Colombia Primera A defeat against Fortaleza CEIF on January 17 and regain momentum. In that match, Alianza had 41% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fortaleza CEIF | 59% | 8 (4) | 0.62 | 36 |
Alianza | 41% | 4 (3) | 0.45 | 23 |
Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Stats
Key Stats
| Deportes Tolima | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Deportes Tolima are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Alianza average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.