Our Benfica vs Alverca Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Alverca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 8, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Benfica vs Alverca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Tondela vs Benfica
Benfica will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga stalemate against Tondela on February 1. In that match, Benfica recorded 76% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 24% | 6 (1) | 0.42 | 31 |
 Benfica | 76% | 16 (10) | 1.88 | 108 |
Alverca's Last Match – Alverca vs Estrela
Alverca will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Estrela on January 31. In that match, Alverca recorded 57% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alverca | 57% | 5 (4) | 0.89 | 58 |
 Estrela | 43% | 3 (2) | 0.88 | 24 |
Benfica vs Alverca Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Alverca average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.