Our Neftchi Baku vs Araz FK Prediction: 4-1
Neftchi Baku vs Araz FK in the Azerbaijan Premier League is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. A 4-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Neftchi Baku vs Araz FK prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Neftchi Baku's Last Match – FK Sumqayit vs Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Azerbaijan Premier League victory over FK Sumqayit, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Neftchi Baku had 50% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FK Sumqayit | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 65 |
Neftchi Baku | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 86 |
Araz FK's Last Match – Araz FK vs Sabah
Araz FK must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-4 Azerbaijan Premier League defeat against Sabah on April 7. In that match, Araz FK recorded 46% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Araz FK | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 45 |
Sabah | 54% | 0 (9) | - | 89 |
Neftchi Baku vs Araz FK Stats
Key Stats
| Neftchi Baku | Araz FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.09 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.95 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Neftchi Baku are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Araz FK average 1.1 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.



FK Sumqayit
Neftchi Baku
Araz FK
Sabah
Sabah
FK Qarabag
PFK Turan Tovuz
Zira IK
Neftchi Baku
Araz FK
FK Sumqayit
Shamakhi FK
FK Kapaz
FK Gabala
FK Karvan