Our Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 2-1
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 21, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arsenal's Last Match – Arsenal vs West Ham
Arsenal will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 England Premier League success over West Ham on October 4. In that match, Arsenal saw 68% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 68% | 9 (5) | 2.72 | 72 |
 West Ham | 32% | 3 (0) | 0.49 | 24 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Spain La Liga draw against Celta Vigo on October 5. In that match, Atletico Madrid recorded 41% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Celta Vigo | 59% | 14 (4) | 1.91 | 91 |
 Atletico Madrid | 41% | 4 (1) | 0.3 | 30 |
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.61 |
| 0.37 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arsenal are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.