Our Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction: 3-1
Arsenal vs Bournemouth in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 11:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key Arsenal vs Bournemouth stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arsenal's Last Match – Sporting vs Arsenal
Determined to maintain their recent success, Arsenal must win following their 1-0 UEFA Champions League victory against Sporting on April 7. In that match, Arsenal recorded 56% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 44% | 6 (5) | 0.84 | 25 |
 Arsenal | 56% | 8 (4) | 0.78 | 52 |
Bournemouth's Last Match – Bournemouth vs Man Utd
Bournemouth should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 England Premier League draw against Man Utd on March 20. In that match, Bournemouth recorded 55% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bournemouth | 55% | 13 (5) | 1.56 | 51 |
 Man Utd | 45% | 7 (6) | 1.76 | 43 |
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Stats
Key Stats
| Arsenal | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | Attacking Strength | 1.13 |
| 0.64 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arsenal are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Bournemouth average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Arsenal 16-8
Bournemouth 12-8
What are the odds for this match?
Arsenal to win: @1.45
Draw: @4.333
Bournemouth to win: @7
Lineups
Arsenal (4-2-3-1) : David Raya, Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhaes, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Martinelli, Viktor Gyokeres
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1) : Djordje Petrovic, Alex Jimenez, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Alex Scott, Ryan Christie, Rayan, Marcus Tavernier, Eli Junior Kroupi, Evanilson