Our Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction: 1-2
Brighton vs Arsenal in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. We’re backing a 1-2 away win, but with both sides showing goal-scoring potential, BTTS is another good betting choice.
This Brighton vs Arsenal prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Brighton's Last Match – Brighton vs Nottm Forest
Brighton must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 England Premier League victory over Nottm Forest in their last outing. In that match, Brighton controlled 54% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brighton | 54% | 12 (7) | 1.31 | 38 |
 Nottm Forest | 46% | 7 (4) | 0.89 | 40 |
Arsenal's Last Match – Arsenal vs Chelsea
Arsenal will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 England Premier League win against Chelsea on March 1. In that match, Arsenal had 41% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 41% | 8 (5) | 1.13 | 66 |
 Chelsea | 59% | 8 (3) | 1.04 | 55 |
Brighton vs Arsenal Stats
Key Stats
| Brighton | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 1.51 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brighton are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Arsenal average 2.6 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Brighton 10-12
Arsenal 26-10
What are the odds for this match?
Brighton to win: @4.8
Draw: @4.1
Arsenal to win: @1.65
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1) : Bart Verbruggen, Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul Van Hecke, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Georginio Rutter
Arsenal (4-2-3-1) : David Raya, Jurrien Timber, Cristhian Mosquera, Gabriel Magalhaes, Piero Hincapie, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Gabriel Martinelli, Viktor Gyokeres