Our Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction: 1-1
Leeds vs Arsenal in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Leeds vs Arsenal prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leeds's Last Match – Everton vs Leeds
Leeds will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Premier League share of the spoils with Everton on January 26. In that match, Leeds recorded 42% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Everton | 58% | 5 (3) | 0.6 | 59 |
 Leeds | 42% | 10 (4) | 1.2 | 39 |
Arsenal's Last Match – Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty
Arsenal will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 UEFA Champions League victory over Kairat Almaty on January 28. In that match, Arsenal had 66% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 11 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 66% | 15 (11) | 4.06 | 97 |
 Kairat Almaty | 34% | 4 (2) | 0.83 | 3 |
Leeds vs Arsenal Stats
Key Stats
| Leeds | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 0.58 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leeds are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Arsenal average 2.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Leeds 18-13
Arsenal 24-13
What are the odds for this match?
Leeds to win: @6.5
Draw: @3.8
Arsenal to win: @1.533
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925