Our Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction: 1-1
Southampton vs Arsenal in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Southampton vs Arsenal prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Southampton's Last Match – Southampton vs Oxford Utd
Southampton must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 England Championship victory over Oxford Utd in their last outing. In that match, Southampton recorded 69% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 69% | 8 (8) | 2 | 41 |
 Oxford Utd | 31% | 3 (1) | 1.03 | 37 |
Arsenal's Last Match – Arsenal vs Man City
Arsenal must win to recover from their recent 0-2 England EFL Cup defeat against Man City on March 22 and regain momentum. In that match, Arsenal saw 38% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 38% | 5 (4) | 0.63 | 32 |
 Man City | 62% | 6 (2) | 1.6 | 54 |
Southampton vs Arsenal Stats
Key Stats
| Southampton | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.74 | Defence Strength | 0.39 |
| 2.6 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Southampton are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Arsenal average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Southampton 22-8
Arsenal 20-8
What are the odds for this match?
Southampton to win: @10
Draw: @5.75
Arsenal to win: @1.285