Our Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 2-1
Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Europa League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday May 8, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Man Utd's Last Match – Brentford vs Man Utd
Man Utd will be looking to bounce back after a 3-4 England Premier League defeat against Brentford on May 4. In that match, Man Utd recorded 53% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brentford | 47% | 8 (6) | 2.46 | 52 |
 Man Utd | 53% | 6 (5) | 1.46 | 38 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Spain La Liga share of the spoils with Real Sociedad on May 4. In that match, Athletic Bilbao recorded 41% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Sociedad | 59% | 7 (3) | 0.8 | 38 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 41% | 2 (1) | 0.16 | 23 |
Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Man Utd | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | Attacking Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man Utd are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 0.7 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
Man Utd 18-17
Athletic Bilbao 7-5
What are the odds for this match?
Man Utd to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.7
Athletic Bilbao to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9
Lineups
Man Utd: Alejandro Garnacho, Andre Onana, Noussair Mazraoui, Bruno Fernandes, Manuel Ugarte, Harry Maguire, Victor Lindelof, Casemiro, Patrick Dorgu, Rasmus Hojlund, Leny Yoro
Athletic Bilbao: Alex Berenguer, Unai Gomez, Mikel Jauregizar, Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta, Maroan Sannadi, Alvaro Djalo