Our Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 4-1
Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday November 5, 2025. A 4-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Tottenham
Determined to maintain their recent success, Newcastle must win following their 2-0 England EFL Cup victory against Tottenham on October 29. In that match, Newcastle recorded 47% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 47% | 8 (3) | 1.31 | 59 |
Tottenham | 53% | 6 (6) | 0.67 | 48 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe
After suffering a 0-1 Spain La Liga loss to Getafe, Athletic Bilbao must win to get back on track. In that match, Athletic Bilbao controlled 57% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Athletic Bilbao | 57% | 6 (4) | 0.38 | 28 |
Getafe | 43% | 5 (3) | 0.81 | 53 |
Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.84 | Defence Strength | 2.12 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Newcastle 20-8
Athletic Bilbao 7-14
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.2
Athletic Bilbao to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825



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