Our America MG vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction: 2-1
America MG vs Athletico Paranaense in the Brazil Serie B is scheduled for an 22:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 27, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key America MG vs Athletico Paranaense stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
America MG's Last Match – Cuiaba vs America MG
America MG will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 Brazil Serie B defeat at the hands of Cuiaba on July 24. In that match, America MG saw 66% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cuiaba | 34% | 8 (5) | 1.65 | 16 |
America MG | 66% | 8 (5) | 1.96 | 53 |
Athletico Paranaense's Last Match – Athletico Paranaense vs Ferroviaria SP
Athletico Paranaense will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Brazil Serie B draw with Ferroviaria SP on July 23. In that match, Athletico Paranaense controlled 59% of possession and managed 19 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Athletico Paranaense | 59% | 19 (8) | 2.09 | 58 |
Ferroviaria SP | 41% | 5 (3) | 1.11 | 17 |
America MG vs Athletico Paranaense Stats
Key Stats
| America MG | Athletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.65 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
America MG are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Athletico Paranaense average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
America MG 11-14
Athletico Paranaense 11-11
What are the odds for this match?
America MG to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.2
Athletico Paranaense to win: @3.1
Lineups
America MG (4-2-3-1) : Dalberson, Mariano, Julio Cesar, Lucas Cavalcante Silva Afonso, Marlon, Miqueias, Fernando Elizari, Facundo Labandeira, Guilherme Nogueira Da Silva, Miguelito, Heber
Athletico Paranaense (3-5-2) : Santos, Lucas Belezi, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Leo Pele, Kau Moraes, Bruno Zapelli, Filipinho, Patrick, Leonardo Derik, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros