Our Athletico Paranaense vs Santos Prediction: 1-1
Athletico Paranaense vs Santos in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 12, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletico Paranaense vs Santos stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Athletico Paranaense's Last Match – Foz Do Iguacu vs Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense win against Foz Do Iguacu on February 7. In that match, Athletico Paranaense recorded 44% possession, firing 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foz Do Iguacu | 56% | 0 (7) | - | 65 |
 Athletico Paranaense | 44% | 0 (8) | - | 47 |
Santos's Last Match – Noroeste vs Santos
Santos must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Brazil Campeonato Paulista victory over Noroeste in their last outing. In that match, Santos controlled 71% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noroeste | 29% | 9 (6) | 1.25 | 26 |
 Santos | 71% | 9 (5) | 1.12 | 55 |
Athletico Paranaense vs Santos Stats
Key Stats
| Athletico Paranaense | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.04 | Defence Strength | 1.12 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletico Paranaense are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Santos average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Athletico Paranaense 20-7
Santos 12-12
Lineups
Athletico Paranaense (3-4-3) : Santos, Carlos Teran, Arthur Dias, Lucas Esquivel, Gaston Benavidez, Juan Portilla, Bruno Zapelli, Leonardo Derik, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros, Julimar
Santos (4-3-3) : Gabriel Brazao, Igor Vinicius, Ze Ivaldo, Luan Peres, Vinicius Rodrigues Lira, Gabriel Menino, Joao Schmidt, Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo, Rony, Thaciano, Miguelito