Our Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction: 2-1
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau in the Peru Liga 1 is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 2, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Alianza Lima's Last Match – Cienciano vs Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Peru Liga 1 defeat against Cienciano on September 28. In that match, Alianza Lima had 44% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cienciano | 56% | 19 (9) | 1.11 | 39 |
 Alianza Lima | 44% | 6 (3) | 0.43 | 23 |
Atletico Grau's Last Match – Atletico Grau vs Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Peru Liga 1 win against Sport Huancayo on September 26. In that match, Atletico Grau controlled 51% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Grau | 51% | 12 (5) | 2.03 | 48 |
 Sport Huancayo | 49% | 6 (3) | 0.58 | 31 |
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Stats
Key Stats
| Alianza Lima | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.05 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Alianza Lima are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Atletico Grau average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Alianza Lima 17-10
Atletico Grau 15-13
What are the odds for this match?
Alianza Lima to win: @1.4
Draw: @5
Atletico Grau to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Lineups
Alianza Lima: Paolo Guerrero, Alan Cantero, Josue Estrada, Guillermo Viscarra, Pedro Aquino, Marco Huaman, Miguel Trauco, Kevin Quevedo, Fernando Gaibor, Brian Jair Arias Guillen, Pablo Ceppelini
Atletico Grau: Diego Soto, Paulo De La Cruz, Jose Bolivar, Tomas Sandoval, Neri Bandiera, Rodrigo Ernesto Tapia, Patricio Alvarez, Rafael Guarderas, Juan Fernando Garro, Jeremy Rostaing, Daniel Franco
Universitario de Deportes 
Cusco FC 
Alianza Lima 
Sporting Cristal 
FBC Melgar 
Sport Huancayo 
Alianza Atletico 
Cienciano 
CD Los Chankas 
Atletico Grau 
Sport Boys 
Comerciantes Unidos 
Ayacucho FC 
UTC Cajamarca 
Alianza Universidad 
Deportivo Binacional