Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 3-2
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain Copa del Rey is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-2 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Barcelona's Last Match – Barcelona vs Levante
Barcelona will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 Spain La Liga victory over Levante, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Barcelona recorded 73% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barcelona | 73% | 16 (9) | 2.92 | 75 |
 Levante | 27% | 4 (2) | 0.53 | 25 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge
Atletico Madrid must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-1 UEFA Champions League victory over Club Brugge in their last outing. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 45% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 45% | 10 (5) | 2.32 | 54 |
 Club Brugge | 55% | 4 (6) | 1.84 | 67 |
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Barcelona | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.39 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Barcelona are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Barcelona 24-13
Atletico Madrid 24-12
What are the odds for this match?
Barcelona to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.5
Atletico Madrid to win: @4.75