Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 2-1
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday December 2, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Barcelona's Last Match – Chelsea vs Barcelona
After suffering a 0-3 UEFA Champions League loss to Chelsea, Barcelona must win to get back on track. In that match, Barcelona controlled 45% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 55% | 9 (6) | 1.75 | 48 |
 Barcelona | 45% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 22 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Determined to maintain their recent success, Atletico Madrid must win following their 1-0 Spain La Liga victory against Getafe on November 23. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 59% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Getafe | 41% | 6 (1) | 0.69 | 47 |
 Atletico Madrid | 59% | 9 (6) | 1.13 | 42 |
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Barcelona | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.04 | Defence Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.5 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Barcelona are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Barcelona 25-19
Atletico Madrid 20-9
What are the odds for this match?
Barcelona to win: @1.8
Draw: @4.1
Atletico Madrid to win: @3.7