Our Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 20:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Atletico Mineiro's Last Match – Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 Brazil Serie A victory over Chapecoense on April 2. In that match, Atletico Mineiro recorded 54% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chapecoense | 46% | 13 (4) | 1.82 | 42 |
 Atletico Mineiro | 54% | 12 (8) | 1.74 | 33 |
Athletico Paranaense's Last Match – EC Bahia vs Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 Brazil Serie A defeat against EC Bahia on April 1. In that match, Athletico Paranaense saw 48% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 EC Bahia | 52% | 7 (5) | 1.15 | 27 |
 Athletico Paranaense | 48% | 8 (4) | 0.55 | 48 |
Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Mineiro | Athletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.12 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Mineiro are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Athletico Paranaense average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Atletico Mineiro 15-9
Athletico Paranaense 15-14
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Mineiro to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.3
Athletico Paranaense to win: @4.5
Lineups
Atletico Mineiro (4-4-2) : Everson, Natanael, Ruan, Vitor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Victor Hugo, Tomas Perez, Alan Franco, Tomas Cuello, Hulk, Reinier
Athletico Paranaense (3-4-2-1) : Santos, Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel, Gaston Benavidez, Jadson, Luiz Gustavo, Leonardo Derik, Kogitzki Dudu, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros