Our Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 18, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Atletico Mineiro's Last Match – Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Brazil Serie A setback against Vitoria on March 14. In that match, Atletico Mineiro had 67% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vitoria | 33% | 7 (4) | 0.32 | 37 |
Atletico Mineiro | 67% | 7 (3) | 1.09 | 60 |
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Bragantino vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 Brazil Serie A victory over Bragantino on March 15. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bragantino | 50% | 7 (3) | 0.64 | 66 |
Sao Paulo | 50% | 4 (3) | 0.8 | 39 |
Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Mineiro | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.18 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Mineiro are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Atletico Mineiro 14-13
Sao Paulo 17-7
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Mineiro to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.1
Sao Paulo to win: @3.3



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Atletico Mineiro
Bragantino
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Athletico Paranaense
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