Our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction: 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 24, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Sao Paulo should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Copa Libertadores draw against Atletico Nacional Medellin on August 20. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 54% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo | 54% | 5 (7) | 1.52 | 37 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin | 46% | 3 (4) | 1.65 | 41 |
Atletico Mineiro's Last Match – Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio
Atletico Mineiro will look to get back on track following a 1-3 Brazil Serie A loss against Gremio on August 17. In that match, Atletico Mineiro recorded 63% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Mineiro | 63% | 7 (3) | 0.22 | 67 |
Gremio | 37% | 7 (4) | 1.05 | 22 |
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Atletico Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Atletico Mineiro average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 15-7
Atletico Mineiro 10-12
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.909
Draw: @3.2
Atletico Mineiro to win: @4.333