Our Atletico Morelia vs Atlante Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Morelia vs Atlante in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 28, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Atlante stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Club Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Club Atletico La Paz on September 20. In that match, Atletico Morelia saw 42% of the ball and 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Club Atletico La Paz | 58% | 0 (5) | - | 62 |
 Atletico Morelia | 42% | 0 (9) | - | 63 |
Atlante's Last Match – Atlante vs Universidad Guadalajara
Atlante must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Universidad Guadalajara in their last outing. In that match, Atlante controlled 63% of possession and managed 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlante | 63% | 0 (1) | - | 0 |
 Universidad Guadalajara | 37% | 0 (0) | - | 0 |
Atletico Morelia vs Atlante Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 1.12 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 0.77 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Atlante average 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Atletico Morelia 16-17
Atlante 20-13
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Morelia to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.5
Atlante to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Atlante 
Jaiba Brava 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Atletico Morelia 
Venados FC 
Oaxaca 
Correcaminos 
Dorados