Our Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Prediction: 1-2
Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.
Our prediction is supported by key Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Oaxaca will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 America Friendlies win against Chapulineros de Oaxaca on January 5. In that match, Oaxaca controlled 52% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 52% | 0 (5) | - | 40 |
Chapulineros de Oaxaca | 48% | 0 (3) | - | 33 |
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos
Atletico Morelia will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion success over Correcaminos on January 11. In that match, Atletico Morelia had 65% possession and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Morelia | 65% | 0 (8) | - | 65 |
 Correcaminos | 35% | 0 (1) | - | 26 |
Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Stats
Key Stats
| Oaxaca | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.81 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Oaxaca are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Atletico Morelia average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Oaxaca 10-13
Atletico Morelia 14-6
What are the odds for this match?
Oaxaca to win: @2.875
Draw: @3.7
Atletico Morelia to win: @2.25