Our Atletico Morelia vs Venados FC Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Morelia vs Venados FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 15, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Venados FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Oaxaca on January 17. In that match, Atletico Morelia saw 42% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 58% | 10 (5) | - | 42 |
 Atletico Morelia | 42% | 6 (4) | - | 31 |
Venados FC's Last Match – Tapatio vs Venados FC
Venados FC will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-4 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss to Tapatio on January 16. In that match, Venados FC controlled 46% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 54% | 0 (7) | - | 56 |
 Venados FC | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 52 |
Atletico Morelia vs Venados FC Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 1.3 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.47 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Venados FC average 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.