Our Bari vs Avellino Prediction: 1-1
Bari vs Avellino in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 27, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Bari vs Avellino prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bari's Last Match – Bari vs Catanzaro
Bari must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Italy Serie B defeat against Catanzaro on December 19. In that match, Bari recorded 36% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bari | 36% | 9 (2) | 1.01 | 36 |
 Catanzaro | 64% | 9 (3) | 0.68 | 61 |
Avellino's Last Match – Avellino vs Palermo
Avellino will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Italy Serie B share of the spoils with Palermo on December 20. In that match, Avellino had 53% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Avellino | 53% | 8 (8) | 1.4 | 42 |
 Palermo | 47% | 6 (2) | 1.65 | 29 |
Bari vs Avellino Stats
Key Stats
| Bari | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bari are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Avellino average 0.9 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Bari 8-15
Avellino 9-20
What are the odds for this match?
Bari to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.1
Avellino to win: @3.25
Lineups
Bari (3-4-2-1) : Michele Cerofolini, Gaetano Castrovilli, Raffaele Pucino, Dimitrios Nikolaou, Lorenzo Dickmann, Matthias Braunoder, Matthias Verreth, Andrea Meroni, Giulio Maggiore, Balla Moussa Mane, Chris Gytkjaer
Avellino (3-4-1-2) : Giovanni Daffara, Patrick Enrici, Lorenco Simic, Alessandro Milani, Filippo Missori, Luca Palmiero, Michele Besaggio, Tommaso Cancellotti, Dimitrios Sounas, Tommaso Biasci, Gennaro Tutino
Frosinone 
Monza 
Venezia 
Palermo 
Catanzaro 
Cesena 
Modena 
Juve Stabia 
Empoli 
Padova 
Avellino 
AC Reggiana 
Carrarese 
Sampdoria 
Spezia 
Bari 
Sudtirol 
Virtus Entella 
Mantova 
Pescara