Our Basel vs Aston Villa Prediction: 1-0
Basel vs Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 11, 2025. We anticipate a close game, with Basel securing a 1-0 win thanks to a crucial moment of quality against Aston Villa.
This Basel vs Aston Villa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Basel's Last Match – Grasshoppers vs Basel
Determined to get back to winning ways, Basel must win after their 1-1 Switzerland Super League draw against Grasshoppers on November 23. In that match, Basel controlled 59% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grasshoppers | 41% | 10 (5) | 1.09 | 48 |
 Basel | 59% | 11 (5) | 1.72 | 62 |
Aston Villa's Last Match – Leeds vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 England Premier League victory over Leeds on November 23. In that match, Aston Villa saw 53% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leeds | 47% | 7 (5) | 1.54 | 51 |
 Aston Villa | 53% | 10 (3) | 1.2 | 38 |
Basel vs Aston Villa Stats
Key Stats
| Basel | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.24 | Defence Strength | 0.6 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Basel are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Aston Villa average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.