Our Lugano vs Basel Prediction: 1-3
Lugano vs Basel in the Switzerland Super League is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 10, 2025. A 1-3 result in favor of the away side seems likely, but given the offensive strengths of both teams, over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative bet.
This Lugano vs Basel prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lugano's Last Match – Lugano vs NK Celje
Lugano will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Switzerland Super League win against Basel on August 10. In that match, Lugano saw 50% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugano | 49% | 0 (4) | 1.61 | 56 |
NK Celje | 51% | 0 (11) | 3.08 | 37 |
Basel's Last Match – Basel vs Young Boys
After suffering a 1-3 Switzerland Super League loss to Lugano, Basel must win to get back on track. In that match, Basel recorded 50% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Basel | 55% | 16 (12) | 2.58 | 59 |
Young Boys | 45% | 9 (5) | 0.47 | 27 |
Lugano vs Basel Stats
Key Stats
| Lugano | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.76 |
| 1.44 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lugano are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Basel average 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.