Our Basel vs Lugano Prediction: 4-0
Basel vs Lugano in the Switzerland Super League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. A 4-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Basel vs Lugano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Basel's Last Match – Basel vs FCSB
Determined to maintain their recent success, Basel must win following their 3-1 UEFA Europa League victory against FCSB on November 6. In that match, Basel recorded 67% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Basel | 67% | 14 (9) | 3.74 | 83 |
 FCSB | 33% | 10 (6) | 1.18 | 24 |
Lugano's Last Match – Lugano vs Lucerne
Lugano will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Switzerland Super League success over Lucerne on October 30.
Basel vs Lugano Stats
Key Stats
| Basel | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.46 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Basel are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Lugano average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Basel 16-12
Lugano 18-15
What are the odds for this match?
Basel to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.9
Lugano to win: @3.9
Lineups
Basel (4-4-1-1) : Marwin Hitz, Kevin Ruegg, Flavius Daniliuc, Adrian Leon Barisic, Dominik Robin Schmid, Benie Adama Traore, Leo Leroy, Metinho, Philipas Otele, Xherdan Shaqiri, Moritz Broschinski
Lugano (4-2-3-1) : Amir Saipi, Mattia Zanotti, Antonios Papadopoulos, Lars Lukas Mai, Martim Marques, Anto Grgic, Uran Bislimi, Yanis Cimignani, Daniel Dos Santos, Hicham Mahou, Kevin Behrens
FC Thun 
St Gallen 
Lugano 
Basel 
Young Boys 
FC Sion 
FC Zurich 
Lucerne 
Lausanne Sports 
Servette 
Grasshoppers 
Winterthur