Our Basel vs Lugano Prediction: 1-1
Basel vs Lugano in the Switzerland Super League is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 15, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Basel vs Lugano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Basel's Last Match – FC Sion vs Basel
Basel will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Switzerland Super League setback against FC Sion on February 12. In that match, Basel saw 58% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Sion | 42% | 17 (7) | 1.96 | 55 |
 Basel | 58% | 10 (4) | 0.78 | 53 |
Lugano's Last Match – Lugano vs Servette
Lugano will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Switzerland Super League share of the spoils with Servette on February 11. In that match, Lugano recorded 42% possession, firing 2 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lugano | 42% | 2 (1) | 0.35 | 24 |
 Servette | 58% | 5 (2) | 1.62 | 62 |
Basel vs Lugano Stats
Key Stats
| Basel | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | Attacking Strength | 1.11 |
| 0.59 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Basel are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Lugano average 2.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Basel 15-19
Lugano 21-10
What are the odds for this match?
Basel to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.7
Lugano to win: @2.875
Lineups
Basel (4-2-3-1) : Marwin Hitz, Kevin Ruegg, Marvin Akahomen, Nicolas Vouilloz, Dominik Robin Schmid, Leo Leroy, Bacanin Andrej, Benie Adama Traore, Xherdan Shaqiri, Ibrahim Salah, Albian Ajeti
Lugano (3-4-2-1) : Amir Saipi, Lars Lukas Mai, Damian Kelvin, Antonios Papadopoulos, Mattia Zanotti, Mohamad Belhadj Mahmoud, Anto Grgic, Yanis Cimignani, Renato Steffen, Uran Bislimi, Kevin Behrens
FC Thun 
St Gallen 
Lugano 
FC Sion 
Basel 
Young Boys 
Lucerne 
FC Zurich 
Lausanne Sports 
Servette 
Grasshoppers 
Winterthur