Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 2-1
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I draw with SC Freiburg on May 4. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen recorded 68% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Freiburg | 32% | 4 (3) | 0.77 | 35 |
Bayer Leverkusen | 68% | 3 (2) | 0.32 | 36 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
Determined to maintain their recent success, Borussia Dortmund must win following their 4-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory against Wolfsburg on May 3. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 55% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Borussia Dortmund | 55% | 7 (5) | 2.55 | 56 |
Wolfsburg | 45% | 7 (2) | 0.7 | 42 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| Bayer Leverkusen | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayer Leverkusen are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Bayer Leverkusen 14-13
Borussia Dortmund 24-16
What are the odds for this match?
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @2.625
Draw: @3.9
Borussia Dortmund to win: @2.375
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Lukas Hradecky, Edmond Tapsoba, Jonathan Tah, Piero Hincapie, Jeremie Frimpong, Robert Andrich, Granit Xhaka, Alex Grimaldo, Florian Wirtz, Amine Adli, Nathan Tella
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1) : Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Pascal Gross, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy