Our Buriram United vs BG Pathum United Prediction: 3-0
Buriram United vs BG Pathum United in the Thailand Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Buriram United vs BG Pathum United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Buriram United's Last Match – FC Seoul vs Buriram United
Buriram United must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-3 AFC Champions League Elite defeat against FC Seoul on September 30. In that match, Buriram United recorded 47% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Seoul | 53% | 4 (5) | 0.83 | 47 |
 Buriram United | 47% | 4 (2) | 0.32 | 25 |
BG Pathum United's Last Match – Tampines Rovers FC vs BG Pathum United
BG Pathum United will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 AFC Champions League Two setback against Tampines Rovers FC on October 2. In that match, BG Pathum United recorded 55% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tampines Rovers FC | 45% | 4 (2) | 1.64 | 29 |
 BG Pathum United | 55% | 15 (6) | 1.82 | 66 |
Buriram United vs BG Pathum United Stats
Key Stats
| Buriram United | BG Pathum United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 0.4 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Buriram United are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while BG Pathum United average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Buriram United 23-13
BG Pathum United 13-12
What are the odds for this match?
Buriram United to win: @1.285
Draw: @5.25
BG Pathum United to win: @7.5
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