Our Derby vs Blackburn Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Blackburn in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Derby vs Blackburn prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Hull vs Derby
Derby must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-4 England Championship defeat against Hull on February 24. In that match, Derby controlled 50% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hull | 50% | 5 (4) | 0.58 | 55 |
 Derby | 50% | 13 (5) | 3.27 | 42 |
Blackburn's Last Match – Blackburn vs Bristol City
After suffering a 1-2 England Championship loss to Bristol City, Blackburn must win to get back on track. In that match, Blackburn recorded 46% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blackburn | 46% | 13 (7) | 2.17 | 56 |
 Bristol City | 54% | 9 (7) | 0.77 | 50 |
Derby vs Blackburn Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.21 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Blackburn average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Derby 16-15
Blackburn 8-13
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.25
Blackburn to win: @3.4
Lineups
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, Bobby Clark, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Patrick Agyemang, Carlton Morris
Blackburn (3-4-2-1) : Balazs Toth, Hayden Carter, Sean McLoughlin, Eiran Cashin, Ryan Alebiosu, Moussa Baradji, Adam Forshaw, Yuri Ribeiro, Ryoya Morishita, Yuki Ohashi, Andri Gudjohnsen