Our Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach Prediction: 2-1
Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against SC Freiburg on January 10 and regain momentum. In that match, Hamburg saw 40% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Freiburg | 60% | 13 (7) | 2.83 | 40 |
Hamburg | 40% | 9 (5) | 0.63 | 28 |
Borussia M'gladbach's Last Match – Borussia M'gladbach vs Augsburg
Borussia M'gladbach will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Augsburg on January 11. In that match, Borussia M'gladbach controlled 51% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Borussia M'gladbach | 51% | 13 (7) | 3.13 | 26 |
Augsburg | 49% | 19 (2) | 1.87 | 49 |
Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Borussia M'gladbach average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Hamburg 17-20
Borussia M'gladbach 14-11
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @2.4
Draw: @3.5
Borussia M'gladbach to win: @2.75



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