Our Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach Prediction: 2-1
Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against SC Freiburg on January 10 and regain momentum. In that match, Hamburg saw 40% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Freiburg | 60% | 13 (7) | 2.83 | 40 |
 Hamburg | 40% | 9 (5) | 0.63 | 28 |
Borussia M'gladbach's Last Match – TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach will look to get back on track following a 1-5 Germany Bundesliga I loss against TSG Hoffenheim on January 14. In that match, Borussia M'gladbach controlled 34% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSG Hoffenheim | 66% | 16 (10) | 3.29 | 66 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 34% | 6 (5) | 0.86 | 32 |
Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Borussia M'gladbach average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Hamburg 17-20
Borussia M'gladbach 12-15
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.5
Borussia M'gladbach to win: @2.8
Lineups
Hamburg (3-4-3) : Daniel Fernandes, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Damion Downs, Ransford Konigsdorffer, Jean-Luc Dompe
Borussia M'gladbach (3-4-2-1) : Moritz Nicolas, Philipp Sander, Nico Elvedi, Kevin Diks, Joe Scally, Rocco Reitz, Yannick Engelhardt, Luca Netz, Franck Honorat, Florian Neuhaus, Haris Tabakovic