Our Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction: 1-2
Burnley vs Bournemouth in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
This Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Everton vs Burnley
Burnley must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 England Premier League defeat against Everton on March 3. In that match, Burnley saw 44% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Everton | 56% | 7 (5) | 1.1 | 25 |
 Burnley | 44% | 4 (2) | 0.77 | 26 |
Bournemouth's Last Match – Bournemouth vs Brentford
Bournemouth will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 England Premier League draw against Brentford on March 3. In that match, Bournemouth recorded 48% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bournemouth | 48% | 10 (2) | 2.11 | 14 |
 Brentford | 52% | 3 (2) | 0.39 | 20 |
Burnley vs Bournemouth Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 1.65 | Defence Strength | 1.47 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Bournemouth average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Burnley 16-20
Bournemouth 16-11
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @4.2
Draw: @3.75
Bournemouth to win: @1.833