Our Burundi vs Kenya Prediction: 3-2
Burundi vs Kenya in the Africa - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 9, 2025. We’re backing a 3-2 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Burundi vs Kenya prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burundi's Last Match – Gambia vs Burundi
Burundi must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 Africa - World Cup Qualifying defeat against Gambia on September 9. In that match, Burundi had 39% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gambia | 61% | 10 (5) | - | 66 |
 Burundi | 39% | 7 (1) | - | 56 |
Kenya's Last Match – Kenya vs Seychelles
Kenya will aim to maintain their momentum following a 5-0 Africa - World Cup Qualifying triumph against Seychelles on September 9. In that match, Kenya recorded 66% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kenya | 66% | 16 (7) | - | 48 |
 Seychelles | 34% | 3 (2) | - | 22 |
Burundi vs Kenya Stats
Key Stats
| Burundi | Kenya | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Attacking Strength | 1.68 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.45 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.6 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burundi are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Kenya average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
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