Our Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen Prediction: 1-1
Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen in the Wales Championship South is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Caerau Ely's Last Match – Cambrian United vs Caerau Ely
Caerau Ely will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 Wales Championship South defeat at the hands of Cambrian United on February 13. In that match, Caerau Ely recorded 57% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cambrian United | 43% | 0 (7) | - | 65 |
 Caerau Ely | 57% | 0 (1) | - | 61 |
Carmarthen's Last Match – Carmarthen vs Trefelin BGC
Carmarthen must win to recover from their recent 0-2 Wales Championship South defeat against Trefelin BGC on February 13 and regain momentum. In that match, Carmarthen recorded 48% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carmarthen | 48% | 0 (2) | - | 44 |
 Trefelin BGC | 52% | 0 (4) | - | 42 |
Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen Stats
Key Stats
| Caerau Ely | Carmarthen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | Attacking Strength | 0.86 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Caerau Ely are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Carmarthen average 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Caerau Ely 16-16
Carmarthen 7-16
What are the odds for this match?
Caerau Ely to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.8
Carmarthen to win: @3.9
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Caerau Ely 
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