Our Penydarren BGC vs Caerau Ely Prediction: 3-2
Penydarren BGC vs Caerau Ely in the Wales Cup is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 20, 2025. A 3-2 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Penydarren BGC vs Caerau Ely prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penydarren BGC's Last Match – Penydarren BGC vs Carmarthen
Penydarren BGC should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 Wales Cup draw against Carmarthen on November 16.
Caerau Ely's Last Match – Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons
Caerau Ely will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Wales Championship South win against Baglan Dragons on September 17. In that match, Caerau Ely saw 59% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Caerau Ely | 59% | 0 (3) | - | 57 |
Baglan Dragons | 41% | 0 (2) | - | 48 |
Penydarren BGC vs Caerau Ely Stats
Key Stats
| Penydarren BGC | Caerau Ely | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 1.69 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.42 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penydarren BGC are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Caerau Ely average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.