Our Inter Milan vs Cagliari Prediction: 4-1
Inter Milan vs Cagliari in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Friday April 17, 2026. A 4-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Inter Milan vs Cagliari stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Inter Milan's Last Match – Como vs Inter Milan
Inter Milan will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-3 Italy Serie A victory over Como on April 12. In that match, Inter Milan controlled 40% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Como | 60% | 15 (8) | 2.79 | 54 |
 Inter Milan | 40% | 6 (5) | 0.88 | 12 |
Cagliari's Last Match – Cagliari vs Cremonese
Cagliari will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Cremonese on April 11. In that match, Cagliari recorded 34% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cagliari | 34% | 12 (5) | 1.01 | 42 |
 Cremonese | 66% | 4 (2) | 0.28 | 36 |
Inter Milan vs Cagliari Stats
Key Stats
| Inter Milan | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 1.46 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Inter Milan are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Cagliari average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Inter Milan 17-13
Cagliari 9-13
What are the odds for this match?
Inter Milan to win: @1.2
Draw: @6
Cagliari to win: @15