Our Burnley vs Cardiff Prediction: 3-2
Burnley vs Cardiff in the England EFL Cup is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 23, 2025. We’re backing a 3-2 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Burnley vs Cardiff prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Nottm Forest
Burnley will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Premier League share of the spoils with Nottm Forest on September 20. In that match, Burnley saw 37% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 37% | 7 (5) | 0.73 | 43 |
 Nottm Forest | 63% | 10 (8) | 1.1 | 69 |
Cardiff's Last Match – Cardiff vs Bradford
Cardiff will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 England League 1 defeat against Bradford on September 20. In that match, Cardiff recorded 61% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cardiff | 61% | 0 (5) | 1.89 | 69 |
 Bradford | 39% | 0 (6) | 2.31 | 44 |
Burnley vs Cardiff Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.16 | Defence Strength | 1.93 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Cardiff average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
Burnley 11-14
Cardiff 17-5
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.5
Cardiff to win: @4.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025