Our Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen Prediction: 1-1
Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen in the Wales Championship South is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 1, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Aberystwyth's Last Match – Aberystwyth vs Ynyshir Albions
Aberystwyth will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-0 Wales Championship South success over Ynyshir Albions on November 22. In that match, Aberystwyth saw 58% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aberystwyth | 58% | 0 (7) | - | 34 |
Ynyshir Albions | 42% | 0 (3) | - | 34 |
Carmarthen's Last Match – Carmarthen vs Colwyn Bay
Carmarthen must win to recover from their recent 1-3 Wales Cup defeat against Colwyn Bay on November 22 and regain momentum. In that match, Carmarthen had 52% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carmarthen | 52% | 0 (1) | - | 48 |
 Colwyn Bay | 48% | 0 (3) | - | 63 |
Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen Stats
Key Stats
| Aberystwyth | Carmarthen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | Attacking Strength | 1.41 |
| 0.43 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Aberystwyth are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Carmarthen average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.