Our Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Prediction: 1-3
Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen in the Wales Championship South is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 28, 2026. Our forecast points to a 1-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
This Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Baglan Dragons's Last Match – Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic
Baglan Dragons must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Wales Championship South draw against Cwmbran Celtic on March 24. In that match, Baglan Dragons had 62% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Baglan Dragons | 62% | 0 (1) | - | 43 |
 Cwmbran Celtic | 38% | 0 (7) | - | 32 |
Carmarthen's Last Match – Carmarthen vs Ynyshir Albions
Carmarthen will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Wales Championship South stalemate against Ynyshir Albions on March 21. In that match, Carmarthen saw 50% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carmarthen | 50% | 0 (7) | - | 68 |
Ynyshir Albions | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 40 |
Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Stats
Key Stats
| Baglan Dragons | Carmarthen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | Attacking Strength | 1.54 |
| 1.24 | Defence Strength | 1.28 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.4 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Baglan Dragons are averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Carmarthen average 2.1 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.