Our Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction: 2-1
Estrela vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Friday March 20, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key Estrela vs Casa Pia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Estrela's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Estrela
Estrela will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga loss against Rio Ave on March 15. In that match, Estrela recorded 55% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 45% | 11 (5) | 2.74 | 39 |
 Estrela | 55% | 10 (5) | 1.34 | 32 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Estoril vs Casa Pia
Casa Pia should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Estoril on March 7. In that match, Casa Pia had 36% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estoril | 64% | 7 (1) | 0.5 | 33 |
 Casa Pia | 36% | 6 (2) | 1.46 | 29 |
Estrela vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Estrela | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.48 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Estrela are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Estrela 7-19
Casa Pia 10-15
What are the odds for this match?
Estrela to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.2
Casa Pia to win: @2.8