Our Real Madrid vs CD Alaves Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs CD Alaves in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday April 21, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This Real Madrid vs CD Alaves prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Girona
Real Madrid must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Spain La Liga draw against Girona on April 10. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 61% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 61% | 16 (9) | 2.22 | 101 |
 Girona | 39% | 7 (2) | 0.52 | 23 |
CD Alaves's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs CD Alaves
CD Alaves will seek to go one better this time following a 3-3 Spain La Liga share of the spoils with Real Sociedad on April 11. In that match, CD Alaves saw 46% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Sociedad | 54% | 6 (4) | 0.94 | 41 |
 CD Alaves | 46% | 7 (2) | 1.12 | 39 |
Real Madrid vs CD Alaves Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | CD Alaves | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 1.45 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while CD Alaves average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 19-12
CD Alaves 17-22
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.27
Draw: @5.25
CD Alaves to win: @10