Our Derby vs Charlton Prediction: 1-0
Derby vs Charlton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 30, 2025. We anticipate a close game, with Derby securing a 1-0 win thanks to a crucial moment of quality against Charlton.
This Derby vs Charlton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Wrexham vs Derby
Derby will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Championship draw against Wrexham on September 27. In that match, Derby saw 46% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wrexham | 54% | 10 (4) | 0.74 | 57 |
 Derby | 46% | 5 (3) | 0.37 | 47 |
Charlton's Last Match – Charlton vs Blackburn
Charlton must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 England Championship victory over Blackburn in their last outing. In that match, Charlton recorded 46% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charlton | 46% | 10 (7) | 1.49 | 62 |
 Blackburn | 54% | 5 (1) | 0.29 | 28 |
Derby vs Charlton Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | Attacking Strength | 0.46 |
| 0.92 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Charlton average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Derby 13-16
Charlton 14-9
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.55
Draw: @3.3
Charlton to win: @2.7
Lineups
Derby (4-3-3) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Dion Sanderson, Max Johnston, Matt Clarke, Callum Elder, Ebou Adams, Lewis Travis, Bobby Clark, Patrick Agyemang, Carlton Morris, Ben Brereton
Charlton (4-3-3) : Thomas Kaminski, Kayne Ramsay, Lloyd Jones, Macauley Gillesphey, James Bree, Sonny Carey, Conor Coventry, Greg Docherty, Amari’i Bell, Charlie Kelman, Tyreece Campbell
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