Chelsea vs Burnley Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1

Chelsea vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.

Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.

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Recent Form Insights

Chelsea's Last Match – Hull vs Chelsea

Chelsea will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-0 England FA Cup success over Hull on February 13. In that match, Chelsea recorded 76% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Hull	24%	4 (3)	0.82	45
Chelsea	76%	11 (8)	1.67	46

Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Mansfield

After suffering a 1-2 England FA Cup loss to Mansfield, Burnley must win to get back on track. In that match, Burnley had 64% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Burnley	64%	10 (4)	3.82	63
Mansfield	36%	8 (4)	0.89	37

Chelsea vs Burnley Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Chelsea are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Burnley average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Chelsea to win: @1.222

Draw: @6.5

Burnley to win: @12

Lineups

Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Robert Sanchez, Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Malo Gusto, Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro

Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Josh Laurent, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Hannibal Mejbri, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming

Chelsea Fixtures

Burnley Fixtures