Our Merthyr Town vs Chester Prediction: 3-2
Merthyr Town vs Chester in the England National League North is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 10, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-2 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This Merthyr Town vs Chester prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Merthyr Town's Last Match – Leamington vs Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 England National League North victory over Leamington on February 24. In that match, Merthyr Town recorded 53% possession, firing 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Leamington | 47% | 0 (9) | - | 103 |
Merthyr Town | 53% | 0 (7) | - | 72 |
Chester's Last Match – Hereford FC vs Chester
After suffering a 2-5 England National League North loss to Hereford FC, Chester must win to get back on track. In that match, Chester controlled 56% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hereford FC | 44% | 0 (6) | - | 20 |
Chester | 56% | 0 (3) | - | 30 |
Merthyr Town vs Chester Stats
Key Stats
| Merthyr Town | Chester | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | Attacking Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merthyr Town are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Chester average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.



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