Our Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction: 3-1
Merthyr Town vs Chorley in the England National League North is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 7, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Merthyr Town vs Chorley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Merthyr Town's Last Match – Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-3 England National League North defeat against Darlington 1883 on January 31. In that match, Merthyr Town had 35% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Darlington 1883 | 65% | 0 (10) | - | 51 |
Merthyr Town | 35% | 0 (5) | - | 35 |
Chorley's Last Match – Chorley vs Leamington
Chorley should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England National League North draw against Leamington on February 3. In that match, Chorley saw 55% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Chorley | 55% | 0 (7) | - | 82 |
Leamington | 45% | 0 (2) | - | 48 |
Merthyr Town vs Chorley Stats
Key Stats
| Merthyr Town | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.97 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merthyr Town are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Chorley average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.



Darlington 1883
Merthyr Town
Chorley
Leamington
AFC Fylde
South Shields
Merthyr Town
Radcliffe FC
Kidderminster
Scarborough Athletic
Macclesfield
Darlington 1883
AFC Telford
Marine
Chester
Curzon Ashton
Spennymoor Town
Buxton
Chorley
Worksop
Southport
Bedford Town
Kings Lynn Town
Peterborough Sports
Oxford City
Alfreton Town
Hereford FC
Leamington