Our Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 2-1
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Campeonato Paulista is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Corinthians's Last Match – Bragantino vs Corinthians
Corinthians will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 Brazil Campeonato Paulista setback against Bragantino on January 15. In that match, Corinthians recorded 56% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bragantino | 44% | 11 (6) | 0.81 | 42 |
 Corinthians | 56% | 7 (1) | 0.51 | 35 |
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Sao Bernardo SP
Sao Paulo will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Brazil Campeonato Paulista victory over Sao Bernardo SP on January 16. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 58% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Paulo | 58% | 7 (2) | 0.78 | 60 |
 Sao Bernardo SP | 42% | 7 (3) | 0.11 | 17 |
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Stats
Key Stats
| Corinthians | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.74 | Defence Strength | 0.91 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Corinthians are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Corinthians 11-14
Sao Paulo 11-17
What are the odds for this match?
Corinthians to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.2
Sao Paulo to win: @3.5