Our Mexico vs Costa Rica Prediction: 1-0
Mexico vs Costa Rica in the CONCACAF Gold Cup is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Monday June 23, 2025. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Mexico seems the most probable outcome against Costa Rica.
This Mexico vs Costa Rica prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mexico's Last Match – Suriname vs Mexico
Mexico will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 CONCACAF Gold Cup win against Suriname on June 19. In that match, Mexico had 61% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suriname | 39% | 3 (2) | 0.15 | 33 |
 Mexico | 61% | 10 (7) | 1.3 | 40 |
Costa Rica's Last Match – Costa Rica vs Dominican Republic
Costa Rica will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 CONCACAF Gold Cup victory over Dominican Republic on June 19. In that match, Costa Rica saw 50% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Costa Rica | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.83 | 57 |
 Dominican Republic | 50% | 12 (4) | 1.32 | 46 |
Mexico vs Costa Rica Stats
Key Stats
| Mexico | Costa Rica | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 0.33 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 3.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mexico are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Costa Rica average 3.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Mexico 18-11
Costa Rica 34-12
What are the odds for this match?
Mexico to win: @1.55
Draw: @3.8
Costa Rica to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95