Our Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction: 2-1
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Internacional vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Brazil Serie A share of the spoils with Internacional on April 1. In that match, Sao Paulo saw 66% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Internacional | 34% | 6 (4) | 1.01 | 27 |
Sao Paulo | 66% | 8 (3) | 0.86 | 60 |
Cruzeiro's Last Match – Cruzeiro vs Vitoria
Cruzeiro will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 Brazil Serie A victory over Vitoria, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Cruzeiro recorded 59% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cruzeiro | 59% | 7 (6) | 1.97 | 56 |
Vitoria | 41% | 2 (1) | 0.12 | 45 |
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 0.84 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Cruzeiro average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 13-8
Cruzeiro 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.2
Cruzeiro to win: @3.6
Lineups
Sao Paulo (4-2-3-1) : Rafael, Lucas Ramon, Rafael Toloi, Sabino, Wendell, Damian Bobadilla, Marcos Antonio, Artur, Luciano, Ferreira, Jonathan Calleri
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1) : Matheus Cunha, William, Fabricio Bruno, Lucas Villalba, Kaiki, Matheus Henrique, Gerson, Christian, Matheus Pereira, Keny Arroyo, Kaio Jorge



Internacional
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
EC Bahia
Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Mineiro
Bragantino
Vitoria
Vasco da Gama
Santos
Botafogo
Gremio
Internacional
Corinthians
Chapecoense
Clube Do Remo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol