Our Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe Prediction: 1-0
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. Deportes Tolima’s home form gives them the edge, and a single goal could be enough to earn them a 1-0 victory over Independiente Santa Fe.
This Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Deportes Tolima's Last Match – Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas
Determined to maintain their recent success, Deportes Tolima must win following their 4-1 Colombia Primera A victory against Aguilas Doradas on April 1. In that match, Deportes Tolima recorded 68% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportes Tolima | 68% | 13 (6) | 2.51 | 34 |
 Aguilas Doradas | 32% | 5 (1) | 1 | 28 |
Independiente Santa Fe's Last Match – Independiente Santa Fe vs Llaneros
Independiente Santa Fe will look to get back on track following a 0-1 Colombia Primera A loss against Llaneros on April 1. In that match, Independiente Santa Fe controlled 52% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Santa Fe | 52% | 7 (3) | 0.85 | 55 |
 Llaneros | 48% | 7 (4) | 0.59 | 22 |
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe Stats
Key Stats
| Deportes Tolima | Independiente Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.51 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Deportes Tolima are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Independiente Santa Fe average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportes Tolima 16-9
Independiente Santa Fe 11-13
What are the odds for this match?
Deportes Tolima to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.1
Independiente Santa Fe to win: @4.2
Lineups
Deportes Tolima: Junior Hernandez, Jersson Gonzalez, Juan Mera, Adrian Parra, Sebastian Guzman, Luis Sandoval, Cristian Arrieta, Juan Pablo Torres, Brayan Rovira, Daniel Pedrozo, Alvino Volpi Neto
Independiente Santa Fe: Luis Palacios, Kilian Toscano, Hugo Rodallega, Daniel Torres, Helibelton Palacios, Juan Quintero, Omar Fernandez, Ivan Scarpeta, Yilmar Velasquez, Mateo Puerta, Weibmar Asprilla